English Premier League

prediction · monte-carlo

Forecast for the remainder of the season — title race, European qualification and relegation odds — derived from 10,000 monte-carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures using current team ratings and form.

Season simulator· monte-carlo · 10 000 runs · as of 2026-09-20

Title

MNCManchester City

54%

ARSArsenal

32%

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

Champions League

MNCManchester City

90%

ARSArsenal

87%

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

50%

MANManchester United

26%

BREBrentford

26%

Europa League

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

11%

LIVLiverpool

10%

BREBrentford

10%

MANManchester United

10%

LEELeeds United

Relegation

TOTTottenham Hotspur

61%

CRYCrystal Palace

43%

FULFulham

35%

SUNSunderland

28%

HULHull City

22%