English Premier League

prediction · monte-carlo

Forecast for the remainder of the season — title race, European qualification and relegation odds — derived from 10,000 monte-carlo simulations of the remaining fixtures using current team ratings and form.

Season simulator· monte-carlo · 10 000 runs · as of 2026-10-19

Title

MNCManchester City

56%

ARSArsenal

32%

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

Champions League

MNCManchester City

93%

ARSArsenal

92%

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

68%

LIVLiverpool

21%

CHEChelsea

20%

Europa League

LIVLiverpool

11%

CHEChelsea

11%

BHABrighton & Hove Albion

10%

MANManchester United

10%

BREBrentford

10%

Relegation

TOTTottenham Hotspur

49%

SUNSunderland

47%

CRYCrystal Palace

42%

FULFulham

29%

BOUAFC Bournemouth

21%